Senate 2006

Possible Pickups:
Pennsylvania, Missouri, Maine, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia.

Slightly Possible Pickups:
Montana-Burns was reelected with only 51%. It all depends on who our candidate is.
Texas-If Hutchison runs for governor and we have a good candidate.
Mississippi-If Lott retires and we have a good candidate.

Defend:
Florida, Nebraska, North Dakota, Minnesota, Washington, New Jersey and Michigan.

Possible Retirements to worry about:
Massachusetts, California, West Virginia, New Mexico and Hawaii.



Display:


Missouri (none / 0)

Jim Talent is really the worst.  On par with Santorum.  Mel and Jean Carnahan's son is terrific, but a little green.  Ousting Jim Talent would be a coup for the good guys.
by GarethKeenan on Tue Dec 28, 2004 at 03:56:43 PM EST

Re: Missouri (none / 0)

You know, I've got a big question. How come Missouri had a senate race in 2000, a senate race in 2002 and now a senate race in 2006 all for the same seat? Does it have anything to do with it being a dead guy winning in 2000?
by sam89 on Tue Dec 28, 2004 at 09:12:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Missouri (none / 0)

Yes it does.When Mel Carnahan, who had died, won the election in 2000, his wife was picked for the seat. The 2002 was a special election to fill out the rest of the term, which Talent won.
by Sy Gold on Tue Dec 28, 2004 at 09:58:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Don't worry (none / 0)

About retirements in Massachusetts, California, or Hawaii. The Democrat would almost surely win in all of them. As far as New Mexico, Bingaman's too young to retire.

And as far as West Virginia, the state level is still very blue (a Democratic legislature, a Democratic governor elected with 60% of the vote...). I think the Democrat would win because the state is only red in presidential elections.

by raginillinoian on Tue Dec 28, 2004 at 06:54:04 PM EST

Re: Don't worry (none / 0)

I know but remember, the Democrats are doing well in many states but are getting slammed on the federal level. Besides if Arnold Schwarzenegger and the Republicans run a strong candidate and Feinstien retires, we have fight on our hands. A fight we can win yes, but a fight none the less.
by sam89 on Tue Dec 28, 2004 at 09:07:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Don't worry (none / 0)

Arnold's the only Republican who could win the seat. Believe me, I lived in California until last month. If Feinstein retires, another Democrat will take her place. But her aides deny that she will retire anyway, so it's a moot point.
by raginillinoian on Wed Dec 29, 2004 at 12:36:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

MA unlikely to red (none / 0)

Should their be a retirement, and I really don't think Kennedy will retire3 and even if he does there are several other Kennedey's waiting in the wings. Former Congressman Joe Kennedey is the most likely choice as well as Congressman Marty Meehan.  MA is the most progressive state next to CA.  I lived there to 10 years and know the only reason Mitt got elected was because of in-fight amoungst the state congressional leadership in the state house.  I think they have learned thier lesson and Mitt should be on his way out as well.  The repuds have controled the corner office since 1990 and have been able to make any gains anywhere at either the state or local lvels.  The state has and has had 2 dem senators for over 20 yrs and the house deligation has been dem for just about as long excetp for a couple of years there were 1 or 2 repub the got sweept in 1994 with the repub revolution and sweept right back out.  Both state houses are solidly dem. so I really don't think there is a snowball's chance in Guam that MA will elect a Repub senator in 2006.
by likesun on Wed Dec 29, 2004 at 08:45:13 AM EST

Re: MA unlikely to red (none / 0)

Barney Frank started to make a play for the Senate when things were looking good for Kerry, as did Congressman Markey.  

I'd love to see either of them as a Senator although I can't imagine Kennedy leaving.  

by bellarose on Wed Dec 29, 2004 at 11:01:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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